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Volume 06 Issue 10 October 2023

Predictive Modeling of WQI of Trans Amadi Industrial Layout, Port Harcourt, Rivers State Nigeria Using Multiple Linear Regression
1Agori, J. E., 2Atikpo,E, 3Iwemah E.R., 4Umukoro, O. L.
1,2,3,4Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Ole.h Campus, Delta State University, P. M. B. 22, Oleh, Nigeria
DOI : https://doi.org/10.47191/ijmra/v6-i10-36

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ABSTRACT:

It is important to monitor water quality and understand factors influencing indices like the Water Quality Index (WQI). This study aimed to assess water quality and to develop a predictive model for WQI based on common ions and using multiple linear regression analysis. Water samples were collected from 15 locations in Trans Amadi Industrial Layout, Port Harcourt and analyzed for 19 groundwater quality parameters (Temp, EC, DO, Turbidity, NO3, HCO3, pH, TDS, CI, SO₄, Fe, Na, Ca, Mg, Zn, Cu, Cr, Pb and Cd). Results of correlation analysis revealed that there were significant relationships between some of these parameters and the WQI. A multiple linear regression (MLR) model was developed to quantitatively examine relationships between the Water Quality Index (WQI) and key indicator variables and to predict the WQI based on the parameters. The model exhibited a strong coefficient of determination (R-squared = 0.9811), indicating a high level of accuracy in predicting the WQI. Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) values confirmed the model's predictive capability. Overall, this study contributed to understanding the factors influencing water quality and showed that linear regression is a reliable method for predicting WQI. The model accurately explains variation in WQI based on nitrate, chloride, sodium, calcium and magnesium levels.

KEYWORD:

Water Quality Index, linear regression, Prediction, groundwater quality parameters

REFERENCES
1) Agori, J. E., Nwoke, H. U., Okoro, B. C. and Dike, B. U. (2021). Application of Correlation and Regression Models in Predicting the Physico-chemical Quality of Groundwater from Insitu Measured Parameters. European Journal of Engineering and Technology Research, 6(6), 19 – 38.

2) Brown, R. M., McClelland, N. I., Deininger, R. A., & Tozer, R. G. (1970). A water quality index—crashing the psychological barrier. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution, 1(3), 389-397.

3) Lobato, T.C., Hauser-Davis, R.A., Oliveira, T.F., Silveira, A.M., Silva, H.A.N., Tavares, M. R.M., Saraiva, A.C.F., 2015. Construction of a novel water quality index and quality indicator for reservoir water quality evaluation: A case study in the Amazon region. J. Hydrol. 522, 674–683.

4) Magesh, N.S., Krishnakumar, S., Chandrasekar, N., Soundranayagam, J.P., 2013. Groundwater quality assessment using WQI and GIS techniques, Dindigul district, Tamil Nadu, India. Arab. J. Geosci. 6, 4179–4189

5) Sanchez, ´ E., Colmenarejo, M.F., Vicente, J., Rubio, A., García, M.G., Travieso, L., Borja, R., 2007. Use of the water quality index and dissolved oxygen deficit as simple indicators of watersheds pollution. Ecol. Indic. 7, 315–328

6) Singh, K. P., Malik, A., & Mohan, D. (2004). Multivariate statistical techniques for the evaluation of spatial and temporal variations in water quality of Gomti River (India)—a case study. Water Research, (18), 3980-3992.

7) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (2017). Freshwater Quality

8) Uddin, M.G., Moniruzzaman, M., Quader, M.A., Hasan, M.A., 2018. Spatial variability in the distribution of trace metals in groundwater around the Rooppur nuclear power plant in Ishwardi, Bangladesh. Groundw. Sustain. Dev. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. gsd.2018.06.002.
Volume 06 Issue 10 October 2023

There is an Open Access article, distributed under the term of the Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits remixing, adapting and building upon the work for non-commercial use, provided the original work is properly cited.


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